Judging Emerging Markets When Making Investments

It finally appears that one of the most challenging and protracted recessions in modern times is coming to a close. Thus, there are many individuals who may be considering a rather serious foray into the investment market. While it is indeed true that there is a good amount of money to be made in such a way, there are a few factors that should be carefully considered before any such venture.

A Look at Emerging Markets

First of all, it is important to understand the term “emerging market”. It can be used in two different ways. Some consider that as we are exiting a recession, we are currently in an “emerging” market. Although this is true, an emerging market is more commonly referred to as a niche sector that is undergoing or is expected to undergo a substantial amount of growth. Obviously, placing oneself in an entry-level position in this situation can lead to a good deal of profit.

Martin Taylor presenting

Martin Taylor presenting

The Commodity Question

Many individuals have touted the commodity market as being one of the most reliable and stable forms of medium- to long-term investment. In fact, this is quite true. Historically speaking, the prices of precious materials, oil and minerals tend to rise. So, many first-time investors will choose to diversify a portion of their portfolio into this sector, for it can help secure growth over time.

However, keep in mind that what goes up will come down (an example of this can be seen in the massive drop in the price of silver by the ounce in recent years). Even commodity markets will suffer their fair share of falls; particularly if the manufacturing industries or the physical demand slows. Keeping a close eye on any emerging technologies and understanding the raw materials that they may require is an excellent way to become involved in a commodity and turn a handsome profit.

A photo of Nick Barnes

Nick Barnes of Nevsky, at a conference

Forex Trading

If commodity trading can be considered a long-term investment strategy, Forex (or currency) investments are on the other end of the spectrum. In essence, a Forex trader will closely follow trends in the prices of currencies around the world. Should a gap between two different types of currency exist, one or both may be purchased under the premise that subsequent changes in price will accrue a profit.

Also, a Forex position can be used to capitalise on an emerging market such as shale oil (as this commodity is listed in dollars, any major announcement may cause the dollar to quickly strengthen). This market operates twenty-four hours every day and is considered to be by far the most liquid available. As a whole, investors will generally not place a great deal of money into the Forex sector; they will rather use a small position to possibly obtain a reasonably high turnaround.

Still, the short-term nature of this strategy will involve a much higher degree of risk. This is the reason why any such position should be established only after careful study or under the guidance of a professional.

These are but a few examples of how emerging area can be judged in different sectors of the marketplace. Naturally, all risk can never be eliminated with any investment strategy. It is nonetheless possible to experience success should these opportunities be approached with prudence and foresight.

Behind the scenes

When we look behind the scenes at any investment fund, we tend to find the full story. In truth, producing results is rarely the work of one or two individuals. The reality is that it would be difficult for such a small team to compile the amount of information that’s necessary to really judge the potential value offered by differing investments.

Nick Barnes Nevsky Capital

This means that it needs a group of real analysts to sit down and to look at specific countries, markets and companies. To begin with, it’s fair to say that this must involve a lot of graphs. For those of us who may not have been great at school, that probably doesn’t sound like a lot of fun!

Martin Taylor Nevsku Capital

That’s right, it means a lot of addition, subtraction, multiplication and division. Although there will certainly be computer programs available at Nevsky Capital to make such data transformations easier, the team led by Martin Taylor and Nick Barnes must still find themselves relying heavily on mental arithmetic in the first instance. That’s the way that many of us look to narrow down options.

Nick Barnes Nevsky Capital

It’s only once those initial, near-immediate, calculations have been carried out that we can seek to move on. That may well be the same for you, depending upon your own chosen role. Admittedly, you may not be focused on managing an investment fund, but it’s easy to see how the same rules might generally apply.

Nevsky Capital Martin Taylor

Ultimately, the team will be looking for signs that particular investments offer value. By the same token, they will be attempting to identify those that should be avoided. Using computer programs and algorithms will only take things so far. Beyond a certain point, it clearly becomes necessary to use the experience that must come from years of investing.

What can the rest of us learn by watching such teams in action? Although we may be investing on a smaller scale, it seems clear that we can also look to make informed decisions. That must be at the heart of all that we do.